Monday, August 29, 2011

A Thousand-to-One Long Shot Hits!

Eric checks in:
You may recall some saying there was only a one-in-a-thousand chance that an exotic-looking "new-physics" bump in the Fermilab data was due to statistical fluctuation.

And yet, that's what it must have been. Newly released LHC data, with higher statistical precision, show no hint of the bump.

Astonishing: a one-in-a-thousand long shot comes true! Truly an outcome no one would have expected. Unless, just maybe, the original Fermilab "one-in-a-thousand" claim was classic misinterpreted-p-value bullshit?

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